Warwick Lawns Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032212 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,491 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Warwick Lawns neighborhood of Newport News anchors census tract 51700032212, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,301 a month against an average household income of $60,925 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1275, -76.5281 · click any tract to drill in
Why Warwick Lawns scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Warwick Lawns compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,866Total filings over 5 yrs
- 57.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 76.2%Peak (2014)
- 413Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Warwick Lawns. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.4%Housing insecurity
- 15.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.9%Food insecurity
- 25.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.2%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Warwick Lawns
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51700032212
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032212?
What is the average rent in tract 51700032212?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032212?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032212?
Is tract 51700032212 considered part of Warwick Lawns?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032212?
What share of households in tract 51700032212 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51700032212 compare to Newport News overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.