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Neighborhood · Newport News, VA

Warwick Lawns Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,046 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.2–4.7

Warwick Lawns is a black-white neighborhood in Newport News with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,046 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,381/month sits 3% higher than the Newport News citywide average ($1,339).

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Warwick Lawns vs Newport News How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.2% +58%
Newport News: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,381 +3%
Newport News: $1,339
Average HH income
$60,344 -10%
Newport News: $66,718
Poverty rate
13.7% -10%
Newport News: 15.1%
Renter share
75.7% +46%
Newport News: 51.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Warwick Lawns and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.7

Why Warwick Lawns scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
13.7% below poverty line · Range 2.4–4.5 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–3.6 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Warwick Lawns vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Warwick Lawns score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Warwick Lawns: 4.44.4Warwick LawnsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Warwick Lawns

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51700032212 4.7 3,491 43% $1,301
51700032113 4.2 3,555 53% $1,460
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 70%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 86%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Warwick Lawns

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,656Total filings (sum)
  • 36.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 76.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 24.07%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Warwick Lawns

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Warwick Lawns

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Warwick Lawns?

Warwick Lawns scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Warwick Lawns compare to Newport News overall?

Warwick Lawns scores 0.1 points higher than Newport News overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,381 vs $1,339.
Q3

What is the average rent in Warwick Lawns?

Average gross rent in Warwick Lawns is $1,381/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Warwick Lawns residents are renters?

76% of Warwick Lawns households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 7,046 residents.
Q5

Is Warwick Lawns a high social-vulnerability area?

Warwick Lawns sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Warwick Lawns have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Warwick Lawns is census tract 51700032212 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.7, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Warwick Lawns for landlords?

Warwick Lawns carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Warwick Lawns?

Warwick Lawns has 7,212 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Warwick Lawns

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Newport News

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Warwick Lawns.

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