2 census tracts · pop 7,046 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3.7–4.5
Warwick Lawns takes in 2 census tracts of Newport News, VA and houses 7,046 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 30.6% citywide, putting Warwick Lawns 17.6% over its own city.
76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records carry 3,656 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 76.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 24.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 30 mapped neighborhoods of Newport News, it ranks #12 by risk, the middle third.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,381, close to the Newport News average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $60,344.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Warwick Lawns vs Newport NewsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Warwick Lawns
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,656Total filings (sum)
36.91%Avg annual filing rate
76.2%Peak year (2014)
24.07%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Warwick Lawns
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.8%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility shutoff threat
22.0%Food insecurity
19.2%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
35.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Warwick Lawns
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Warwick Lawns?
Warwick Lawns scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Warwick Lawns compare to Newport News overall?
Warwick Lawns scores 0.1 points higher than Newport News overall (4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,381 vs $1,339.
Q3
What is the average rent in Warwick Lawns?
Average gross rent in Warwick Lawns is $1,381/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Warwick Lawns residents are renters?
76% of Warwick Lawns households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Newport News). The neighborhood has 7,046 residents.
Q5
Is Warwick Lawns a high social-vulnerability area?
Warwick Lawns sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Warwick Lawns have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Warwick Lawns is census tract 51700032212 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.5, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Warwick Lawns for landlords?
Warwick Lawns carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Newport News as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Warwick Lawns?
Warwick Lawns has 7,212 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.6%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
