Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710000100 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,174 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51710000100 covers the Cottage Park neighborhood of Norfolk, home to 2,174 residents. For landlords it grades 4.4/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #68,005 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,266 a month while the average household earns $66,563 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,102
Renter share62.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$66,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9347, -76.2208 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Park scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,266 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Cottage Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 418Total filings over 2 yrs
- 31.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.4%Peak (2011)
- 131Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Park
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 418 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 31.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 43.4% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000100?
Census tract 51710000100 in the Cottage Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710000100?
Median gross rent is $1,266/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000100?
3.2% of residents in tract 51710000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,174.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 5th, minority 48th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 51710000100 considered part of Cottage Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000100 fall within Cottage Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 418 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 31.59% of renter households, peaking at 43.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710000100 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710000100 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710000100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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