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Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Cottage Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,174 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Cottage Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Norfolk, VA, population 2,174. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for around a third of renter households. Court records for this tract carry 418 eviction filings.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 43.4% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 19.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 55 mapped neighborhoods of Norfolk, it ranks #44 by risk, the lower third.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $1,266, close to the Norfolk average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $66,563. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cottage Park vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.7% -2%
Norfolk: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,266 -4%
Norfolk: $1,321
Average HH income
$66,563 +4%
Norfolk: $64,017
Poverty rate
3.2% -81%
Norfolk: 17.3%
Renter share
62.3% +16%
Norfolk: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cottage Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Cottage Park scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
32% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
3.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Cottage Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cottage Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Cottage ParkNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cottage Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51710000100 3 2,174 32% $1,266
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 11%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cottage Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 418Total filings (sum)
  • 31.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.4%Peak year (2011)
  • 19.82%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cottage Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cottage Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cottage Park?

Cottage Park scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cottage Park compare to Norfolk overall?

Cottage Park scores 1.1 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 32% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,266 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cottage Park?

Average gross rent in Cottage Park is $1,266/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cottage Park residents are renters?

62% of Cottage Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 2,174 residents.
Q5

Is Cottage Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Cottage Park sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cottage Park for landlords?

Cottage Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cottage Park?

Cottage Park has 2,169 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (67.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.3%), Hispanic / Latino (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cottage Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cottage Park.

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