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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Denby Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710001400 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,678 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51710001400 in Denby Park in Norfolk ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,678 residents. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,014 monthly, set against $34,519 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 29% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$34,519

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Denby Park
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9080, -76.2680 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denby Park scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,014 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Denby Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denby Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 001400Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 282Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 17.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.5%Peak (2011)
  • 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denby Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 282 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 17.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.5% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710001400?

Census tract 51710001400 in the Denby Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710001400?

Median gross rent is $1,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710001400?

23.4% of residents in tract 51710001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,678.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 95th, minority 70th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 51710001400 considered part of Denby Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710001400 fall within Denby Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710001400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 282 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.55% of renter households, peaking at 27.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710001400 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710001400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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