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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760010500 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,426 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 51760010500, home to 1,426 residents in the Highland Park area of Richmond, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,333 monthly, set against $81,058 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 12% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units653
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$81,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Highland Park
Low
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Low
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#494 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5798, -77.4383 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Park scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Highland Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 010500Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 392Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 47.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 79.2%Peak (2014)
  • 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517600105002013: 119 filings (58.91/100 renter HHs)2014: 160 filings (79.21/100 renter HHs)2015: 64 filings (31.68/100 renter HHs)2016: 49 filings (18.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 392 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 47.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 79.2% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760010500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760010500?

Census tract 51760010500 in the Highland Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760010500?

Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760010500?

13.5% of residents in tract 51760010500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760010500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 61th, minority 81th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 51760010500 considered part of Highland Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760010500 fall within Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760010500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 392 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760010500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.04% of renter households, peaking at 79.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760010500 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760010500 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760010500 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760010500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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