Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Fulton Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760021200 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,815 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51760021200 in the Fulton Hill area of Richmond, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,815 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units799
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$57,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5112, -77.4000 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fulton Hill scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Fulton Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 86%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 592Total filings over 4 yrs
- 38.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 44.0%Peak (2013)
- 139Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fulton Hill
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 592 filings here across 4 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,195, 13% below the Richmond average.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 44.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 38.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760021200?
Census tract 51760021200 in the Fulton Hill neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760021200?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760021200?
10.8% of residents in tract 51760021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 5th, minority 87th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51760021200 considered part of Fulton Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760021200 fall within Fulton Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760021200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 592 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.65% of renter households, peaking at 44.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760021200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760021200 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760021200 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760021200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oregon Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pinehurts
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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