Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Fulton Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760021200 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,815 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51760021200, home to 1,815 residents in the Fulton Hill area of Richmond, scores 6.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,195 a month against an average household income of $57,716 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units799
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$57,716
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5112, -77.4000 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fulton Hill scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,195 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Fulton Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 86%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 592Total filings over 4 yrs
- 38.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 44.0%Peak (2013)
- 139Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fulton Hill
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760021200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760021200?
Census tract 51760021200 in the Fulton Hill neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760021200?
Median gross rent is $1,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760021200?
10.8% of residents in tract 51760021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,815.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760021200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 5th, minority 87th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51760021200 considered part of Fulton Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760021200 fall within Fulton Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760021200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 592 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.65% of renter households, peaking at 44.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760021200 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760021200 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760021200 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760021200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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