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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Scott's Addition Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760040202 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,052 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51760040202 sits in the Scott's Addition neighborhood of Richmond eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,610 monthly, set against $69,352 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 93% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 54% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units2,018
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$69,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Scott's Addition
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5670, -77.4640 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scott's Addition scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,610 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Scott's Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scott's Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 040202Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scott's Addition

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760040202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760040202?

Census tract 51760040202 in the Scott's Addition neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760040202?

Median gross rent is $1,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760040202?

22.8% of residents in tract 51760040202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,052.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760040202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 1th, minority 48th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 51760040202 considered part of Scott's Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760040202 fall within Scott's Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760040202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760040202 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760040202 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51760040202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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