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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Scott's Addition Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760040202 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,052 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 51760040202 sits in the Scott's Addition area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 3,052. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 54% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units2,018
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$69,352

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Scott's Addition
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#589 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5670, -77.4640 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scott's Addition scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,610 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Scott's Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scott's Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0402024.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scott's Addition

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 42% here against 50.2% across Richmond City.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. At $1,610 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Richmond commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760040202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760040202?

Census tract 51760040202 in the Scott's Addition neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760040202?

Median gross rent is $1,610/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760040202?

22.8% of residents in tract 51760040202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,052.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760040202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 1th, minority 48th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 51760040202 considered part of Scott's Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760040202 fall within Scott's Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760040202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760040202 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760040202 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51760040202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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