Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Museum District Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760040700 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,920 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in Museum District in Richmond centers on tract 51760040700, which scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,920 residents. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,436 a month against an average household income of $68,103 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share63.3%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$68,103
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5634, -77.4807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Museum District scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Museum District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 64%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 201Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2013)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 72% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Museum District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Museum District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760040700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760040700?
Census tract 51760040700 in the Museum District neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760040700?
Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760040700?
7.1% of residents in tract 51760040700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,920.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760040700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 12th, minority 37th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 51760040700 considered part of Museum District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760040700 fall within Museum District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760040700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 201 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760040700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.61% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760040700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760040700 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760040700 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760040700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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