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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Fulton Bottom Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760021100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,813 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 51760021100 in the Fulton Bottom area of Richmond, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 13% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units955
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$40,372

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fulton Bottom
Moderate
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#188 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5194, -77.4072 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fulton Bottom scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,616 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Fulton Bottom compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fulton Bottom risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0211004.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 300Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 33.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.0%Peak (2014)
  • 66Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51760021100
Filings dropped 15% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fulton Bottom

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. SNAP participation runs 38.6% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $40,372 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Cost burden runs 65% here against 50.2% across Richmond City. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.4 points above the Richmond City average of 4.3.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,616, 18% above the Richmond average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 300 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 42.0% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 33.6% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760021100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760021100?

Census tract 51760021100 in the Fulton Bottom neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760021100?

Median gross rent is $1,616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760021100?

28.9% of residents in tract 51760021100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,813.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760021100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 8th, minority 81th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 51760021100 considered part of Fulton Bottom?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760021100 fall within Fulton Bottom (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760021100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 300 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760021100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 33.57% of renter households, peaking at 42.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760021100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760021100 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760021100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760021100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 58% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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