Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Swansboro Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760061001 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,136 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Swansboro area of Richmond is where census tract 51760061001 sits, home to 3,136 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #13,489 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,288 a month against an average household income of $59,397 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 38% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,494

Renter share68.5%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate21.2%

Median income$59,397

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5219, -77.4502 · click any tract to drill in

Why Swansboro scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Richmond

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

21.2% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,288 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Richmond

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Richmond

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Richmond

5.0

How Swansboro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
39%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.1%Housing insecurity
11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
19.4%Food insecurity
17.6%SNAP enrollment
11.0%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Swansboro

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760061001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760061001?

Census tract 51760061001 in the Swansboro neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51760061001?

Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760061001?

21.2% of residents in tract 51760061001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,136.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760061001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 6th, minority 71th, housing 80th.

Is tract 51760061001 considered part of Swansboro?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760061001 fall within Swansboro (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51760061001 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51760061001 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760061001 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51760061001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.