Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Shannon Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760070804 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,922 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51760070804 covers the Shannon Terrace area of Richmond in Virginia. Home to 2,922 residents, it scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.

75% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,279 a month against an average household income of $57,083 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 4% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units1,213

Renter share17.2%

SVI overall0.51

Poverty rate14.3%

Median income$57,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.4708, -77.4991 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shannon Terrace scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Richmond

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.4

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

14.3% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,279 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Richmond

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Richmond

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Richmond

5.0

How Shannon Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.4%Housing insecurity
12.0%Utility-shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
19.3%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shannon Terrace

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760070804

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760070804?

Census tract 51760070804 in the Shannon Terrace neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51760070804?

Median gross rent is $1,279/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760070804?

14.3% of residents in tract 51760070804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,922.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760070804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 40th, minority 84th, housing 23th.

Is tract 51760070804 considered part of Shannon Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760070804 fall within Shannon Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51760070804 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51760070804 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760070804 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.