Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Longview Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 53015000502 · Cowlitz County, WA · pop 4,596
Census tract 53015000502 covers part of Longview, WA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,596 residents. Against Cowlitz County at 40.6%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$47,243
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Longview and the region
Centroid at 46.1250, -122.9599 · click any tract to drill in
Why Longview scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Longview
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,223 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Longview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Longview
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Longview
6.8
How Longview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 631Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2015)
- 37Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Longview
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Cowlitz County average of 5.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 631 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,223, close to the Longview average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53015000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015000502?
Census tract 53015000502 in Longview scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53015000502?
Median gross rent is $1,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53015000502?
18.6% of residents in tract 53015000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,596.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53015000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 89th, minority 47th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53015000502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 631 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53015000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 53015000502 compare to Longview overall?
Tract 53015000502 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Longview at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Longview
Top eight tracts in Longview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Columbia Valley Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Kelso
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015980000
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015000501
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Kelso
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Longview
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
West Longview
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
53015001900
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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