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Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Longview Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 53015000502 · Cowlitz County, WA · pop 4,596

Census tract 53015000502 runs through Longview. With 4,596 residents, it scores 5.9/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,223 a month against an average household income of $47,243 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 26% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$47,243

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Longview
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 30 tracts In Cowlitz County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#137 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
National
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5,690 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Longview and the region

Centroid at 46.1250, -122.9599 · click any tract to drill in

Why Longview scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Longview
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,223 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Longview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Longview
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Longview
6.8

How Longview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Longview risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.86.8This tracttract 000502Longview: 6.66.6Longviewparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 631Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2015)
  • 37Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530150005022004: 72 filings (7.47/100 renter HHs)2009: 57 filings (5.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 49 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2011: 51 filings (4.89/100 renter HHs)2012: 50 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2013: 55 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2014: 48 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2015: 76 filings (7.29/100 renter HHs)2016: 76 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2017: 60 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2018: 37 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Longview

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Longview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cowlitz County average of 5.3 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 631 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53015000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015000502?

Census tract 53015000502 in Longview scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53015000502?

Median gross rent is $1,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53015000502?

18.6% of residents in tract 53015000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,596.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53015000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 89th, minority 47th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53015000502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 631 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53015000502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 53015000502 compare to Longview overall?

Tract 53015000502 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Longview at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Longview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Longview

Top eight tracts in Longview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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