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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Portage Bay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

Tract 53033006100 · King County, WA · pop 5,891 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 53033006100 sits in the Portage Bay area of Seattle eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. It is home to 5,891 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 33% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units3,210
Renter share52.8%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$138,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Portage Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#84 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Moderate
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 494 tracts In King County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#225 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6444, -122.3223 · click any tract to drill in

Why Portage Bay scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,984 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How Portage Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Portage Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 006100Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 0.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2004)
  • 5Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530330061002004: 10 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2005: 6 filings (0.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (0.32/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (0.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 5 filings (0.31/100 renter HHs)2011: 8 filings (0.44/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (0.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 10 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Portage Bay

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.6% against 31.5% nationally.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 44.1% across King County. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 1.0 points above the King County average of 6.7. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 filings here across 10 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 0.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $138,986, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033006100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033006100?

Census tract 53033006100 in the Portage Bay neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033006100?

Median gross rent is $1,984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033006100?

11.6% of residents in tract 53033006100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,891.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033006100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 53033006100 considered part of Portage Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033006100 fall within Portage Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033006100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033006100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.36% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53033006100 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033006100 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 53033006100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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