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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

South Lake Union Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033007406 · King County, WA · pop 2,490 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

53033007406 is a census tract in the South Lake Union area of Seattle, WA. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,490. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 46% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,022
Renter share90.1%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$62,995

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In South Lake Union
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 494 tracts In King County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6193, -122.3260 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lake Union scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,756 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How South Lake Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lake Union risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 007406Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lake Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lake Union

It sits 2.6 points above the King County average of 6.7. This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $62,995 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Disability prevalence runs 17.5% against 31.5% nationally. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the King County average of 44.1%. At $1,756 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Seattle commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033007406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033007406?

Census tract 53033007406 in the South Lake Union neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033007406?

Median gross rent is $1,756/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033007406?

10.8% of residents in tract 53033007406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,490.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033007406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 5th, minority 69th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 53033007406 considered part of South Lake Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033007406 fall within South Lake Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 53033007406 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033007406 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 53033007406 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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