Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

South Lake Union Eviction Risk: Moderate , Seattle

Tract 53033007301 · King County, WA · pop 3,178 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 53033007301, home to 3,178 residents in the South Lake Union neighborhood of Seattle, scores 6.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,308 monthly, set against $103,382 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 65% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units2,354

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.41

Poverty rate19.0%

Median income$103,382

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6219, -122.3309 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lake Union scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

19.0% poverty · this tract

4.8

Supply constraint

$2,308 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How South Lake Union compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
8%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lake Union. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lake Union

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seattle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the King County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033007301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033007301?

Census tract 53033007301 in the South Lake Union neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033007301?

Median gross rent is $2,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033007301?

19.0% of residents in tract 53033007301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,178.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033007301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 1th, minority 69th, housing 90th.

Is tract 53033007301 considered part of South Lake Union?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033007301 fall within South Lake Union (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 53033007301 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033007301 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033007301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.