Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Morgan Junction Eviction Risk: High , Seattle
Tract 53033010602 · King County, WA · pop 3,744 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
53033010602 is a census tract in the Morgan Junction area of Seattle, WA. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,744 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,962
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$104,244
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.5477, -122.3967 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morgan Junction scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,561 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Morgan Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 21%Grade A
- 70%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morgan Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morgan Junction
The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
Against King County at 44.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. At $1,561 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Seattle commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Against average income of $104,244, annual rent is just 18%.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033010602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033010602?
Census tract 53033010602 in the Morgan Junction neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033010602?
Median gross rent is $1,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033010602?
10.1% of residents in tract 53033010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,744.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033010602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 7th, minority 27th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 53033010602 considered part of Morgan Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033010602 fall within Morgan Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53033010602 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033010602 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 53033010602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Foy
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
West Campus
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Foy
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
University Park
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Fairmont Springs
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
South Lake Union
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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