Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Morgan Junction Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033010602 · King County, WA · pop 3,744 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

53033010602 is a census tract in the Morgan Junction area of Seattle, WA. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,744 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.3

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 18% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,962

Renter share41.0%

SVI overall0.26

Poverty rate10.1%

Median income$104,244

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.5477, -122.3967 · click any tract to drill in

Why Morgan Junction scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

10.1% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,561 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How Morgan Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

21%Grade A
70%Grade B
1%Grade C
6%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Morgan Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Morgan Junction

The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Against King County at 44.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Against the King County average of 6.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. At $1,561 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Seattle commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Against average income of $104,244, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033010602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033010602?

Census tract 53033010602 in the Morgan Junction neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033010602?

Median gross rent is $1,561/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033010602?

10.1% of residents in tract 53033010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,744.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033010602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 7th, minority 27th, housing 60th.

Is tract 53033010602 considered part of Morgan Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033010602 fall within Morgan Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 53033010602 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033010602 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033010602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 6% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.