Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally
Rainier Beach Eviction Risk: High , Seattle
Tract 53033011700 · King County, WA · pop 5,719 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 9/10, tract 53033011700 in the Rainier Beach area of Seattle, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,711
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$87,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.5202, -122.2829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rainier Beach scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,306 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Rainier Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 95%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 84Total filings over 10 yrs
- 2.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2005)
- 10Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rainier Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rainier Beach
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10. It sits 2.3 points above the King County average of 6.7. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The filing record is not thin: 84 evictions over 10 years of observation. Average gross rent is $2,306, 14% above the Seattle average.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 3.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033011700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033011700?
Census tract 53033011700 in the Rainier Beach neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033011700?
Median gross rent is $2,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033011700?
12.0% of residents in tract 53033011700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,719.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033011700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 87th, minority 85th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 53033011700 considered part of Rainier Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033011700 fall within Rainier Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033011700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033011700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.19% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53033011700 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033011700 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 53033011700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
University Park
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Foy
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Greek Row
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
South Lake Union
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Beach
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Fairmont Springs
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Japantown
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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