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Neighborhood · Seattle, WA

Rainier Beach Eviction Risk: High

4 census tracts · pop 16,613 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.5/10 · range 7.4–9.3

Rainier Beach takes in 4 census tracts of Seattle, WA, population 16,613. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.5/10, in the High tier. Against a Seattle baseline of 27.4%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.4 to 9.3, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 8.2/10. Filings are well documented here: 124 across 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2010 at 3.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.9% in 2013, is well off that peak. Among the 65 mapped neighborhoods of Seattle, it ranks #15 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $2,073, close to the Seattle average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $97,551.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.5
High
4 tracts · population-weighted
Rainier Beach vs Seattle How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.2% +94%
Seattle: 27.4%
Average gross rent
$2,073 +2%
Seattle: $2,030
Average HH income
$97,551 -20%
Seattle: $121,984
Poverty rate
14.7% +49%
Seattle: 9.9%
Renter share
36.5% -35%
Seattle: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rainier Beach and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 7.4–9.3

Why Rainier Beach scores 8.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–9.5 across tracts
9.2
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 6.2–9.0 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–8.5 across tracts
8.2
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 9.0–9.6 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–8.5 across tracts
8.2
Economic stress
14.7% below poverty line · Range 1.1–6.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Rainier Beach vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rainier Beach score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rainier Beach: 8.58.5Rainier BeachNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.16.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rainier Beach?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 7.4 to 9.3. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Rainier Beach

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53033011802 9.3 4,542 55% $1,400
53033011700 9 5,719 46% $2,306
53033011901 7.6 4,571 52% $2,218
53033026300 7.4 1,781 75% $2,671
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rainier Beach

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 124Total filings (sum)
  • 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak year (2010)
  • 2.03%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Rainier Beach

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rainier Beach?

Rainier Beach scores 8.5/10 (High tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rainier Beach compare to Seattle overall?

Rainier Beach scores 0.6 points higher than Seattle overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,073 vs $2,030.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rainier Beach?

Average gross rent in Rainier Beach is $2,073/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rainier Beach residents are renters?

37% of Rainier Beach households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Seattle). The neighborhood has 16,613 residents.
Q5

Is Rainier Beach a high social-vulnerability area?

Rainier Beach sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rainier Beach have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rainier Beach is census tract 53033011802 (score 9.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 9.3, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Rainier Beach for landlords?

Rainier Beach carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Seattle as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rainier Beach?

Rainier Beach has 16,834 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (34.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rainier Beach

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Seattle

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rainier Beach.

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