Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tacoma
Tract 53053062802 · Pierce County, WA · pop 4,259 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Eviction risk in the Orchard Glen area of Tacoma centers on tract 53053062802, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,259 residents. On the national scale it ranks #44,086 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,497 a month against an average household income of $82,444 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,546
Renter share26.3%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$82,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tacoma and the region
Centroid at 47.1940, -122.4965 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Glen scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,497 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
How Orchard Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 168Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2005)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 63Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Glen
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pierce County average of 5.5 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053062802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053062802?
Census tract 53053062802 in the Orchard Glen neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053062802?
Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053062802?
9.9% of residents in tract 53053062802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,259.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053062802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 77th, minority 62th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 53053062802 considered part of Orchard Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053062802 fall within Orchard Glen (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053062802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 168 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053062802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.15% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 53053062802 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 53053062802 compare to Tacoma overall?
Tract 53053062802 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tacoma at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 53053062802 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma
Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
Stadium District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Salishan
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
McCarver Neighborhood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Dixon Village
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Larchmont
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
International District
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Stadium District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
The Verandas
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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