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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Larchmont Eviction Risk: High , Tacoma

Tract 53053063402 · Pierce County, WA · pop 3,979 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 53053063402 covers part of the Larchmont area of Tacoma, WA, and scores 8.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.4
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 11% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,337
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$63,880

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Larchmont
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 50 tracts In Tacoma
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 193 tracts In Pierce County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tacoma and the region

Centroid at 47.1755, -122.4315 · click any tract to drill in

Why Larchmont scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tacoma
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tacoma
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tacoma
7.5

How Larchmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Larchmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.4This tracttract 0634027.0Tacomaparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 114Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.22×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Larchmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Larchmont

Against Pierce County at 47.5%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 2.7 points above the Pierce County average of 5.7. Set annual rent against average income of $63,880 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The dominant input is local political climate at 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tacoma. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 93rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,736, close to the Tacoma average.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53053063402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053063402?

Census tract 53053063402 in the Larchmont neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53053063402?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53053063402?

27.8% of residents in tract 53053063402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,979.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53053063402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 50th, minority 73th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 53053063402 considered part of Larchmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053063402 fall within Larchmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 53053063402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 53053063402 compare to Tacoma overall?

Tract 53053063402 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tacoma at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tacoma eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 53053063402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tacoma

Top eight tracts in Tacoma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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