Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Historic Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynden

Tract 53073010302 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,757 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 53073010302 sits in the Historic Business District neighborhood of Lynden, Washington eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,491 a month while the average household earns $81,833 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 10% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,994
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$81,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Historic Business District
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lynden
Very High
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#981 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynden and the region

Centroid at 48.9513, -122.4558 · click any tract to drill in

Why Historic Business District scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynden
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,491 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynden
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynden
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynden
5.7

How Historic Business District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Historic Business District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 010302Lynden: 6.96.9Lyndenparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2015)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530730103022015: 6 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.27/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.13/100 renter HHs)
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Historic Business District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynden, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 0.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.9% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53073010302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010302?

Census tract 53073010302 in the Historic Business District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53073010302?

Median gross rent is $1,491/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010302?

8.1% of residents in tract 53073010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,757.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 26th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 53073010302 considered part of Historic Business District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010302 fall within Historic Business District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073010302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073010302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.43% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53073010302 compare to Lynden overall?

Tract 53073010302 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lynden at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynden

Top eight tracts in Lynden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related