Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Northwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynden
Tract 53073010303 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 7,859 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 53073010303 belongs to Northwood in Lynden, Washington. It is home to 7,859 residents and scores 5.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #41,052 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,754 a month against an average household income of $112,931 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,614
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$112,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynden and the region
Centroid at 48.9716, -122.4352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northwood scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynden
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynden
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynden
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynden
5.7
How Northwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.0%Peak (2015)
- 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northwood
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynden, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 0.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.0% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010303?
Census tract 53073010303 in the Northwood neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010303?
Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010303?
14.4% of residents in tract 53073010303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 69th, minority 45th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 53073010303 considered part of Northwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010303 fall within Northwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073010303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073010303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.57% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53073010303 compare to Lynden overall?
Tract 53073010303 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lynden at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynden
Top eight tracts in Lynden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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