Neighborhood · Lynden, WA

Historic Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,757 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Historic Business District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lynden with 1 census tract and a population of 4,757 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,491/month sits 13% lower than the Lynden citywide average ($1,707).

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Historic Business District vs Lynden How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

64.9% +115%

Lynden: 30.2%

Average gross rent

$1,491 -13%

Lynden: $1,707

Average HH income

$81,833 -14%

Lynden: $94,869

Poverty rate

8.1% -7%

Lynden: 8.7%

Renter share

28.8% -15%

Lynden: 33.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Historic Business District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Historic Business District scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

65% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

29% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

8.1% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Historic Business District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Historic Business District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
53073010302	4.2	4,757	65%	$1,491

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 48%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 67%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Historic Business District

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

9Total filings (sum)
0.43%Avg annual filing rate
0.9%Peak year (2015)
0.13%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Historic Business District

What is the eviction-risk score for Historic Business District?

Historic Business District scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Historic Business District compare to Lynden overall?

Historic Business District scores 2.7 points lower than Lynden overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,491 vs $1,707.

What is the average rent in Historic Business District?

Average gross rent in Historic Business District is $1,491/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Historic Business District residents are renters?

29% of Historic Business District households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Lynden). The neighborhood has 4,757 residents.

Is Historic Business District a high social-vulnerability area?

Historic Business District sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Historic Business District for landlords?

Historic Business District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynden as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Historic Business District?

Historic Business District has 4,858 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Other / Multiracial (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Historic Business District

7.5 Birchwood 2 tracts · pop 7,970 6.1 Lakeway 2 tracts · pop 7,341 8.5 Sehome 2 tracts · pop 9,541 8.3 Happy Valley 2 tracts · pop 7,659

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynden

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Historic Business District.

4.1 Northwood 1 tracts · pop 7,859

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