Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Northwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynden
Tract 53073010303 ·
Whatcom County, WA · pop 7,859 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 53073010303 in the Northwood area of Lynden, WA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,859. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.1/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 22%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,614
Renter share43.3%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$112,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Northwood
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Lynden
Moderate
Within county
43th percentile
#31 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Moderate
Within state
39th percentile
#1,084 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynden and the region
Centroid at 48.9716, -122.4352 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northwood scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynden
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,754 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynden
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynden
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynden
5.7
How Northwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
45%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
11Total filings over 3 yrs
0.57%Avg annual filing rate
1.0%Peak (2015)
2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2015 to 2018
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northwood
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 3 tracked years. It sits 0.6 points below the Whatcom County average of 5.9. The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,754, close to the Lynden average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010303?
Census tract 53073010303 in the Northwood neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010303?
Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010303?
14.4% of residents in tract 53073010303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 69th, minority 45th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 53073010303 considered part of Northwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010303 fall within Northwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073010303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073010303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.57% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53073010303 compare to Lynden overall?
Tract 53073010303 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lynden at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynden
Top eight tracts in Lynden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.