Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Historic Business District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lynden
Tract 53073010302 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,757 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 53073010302 covers part of the Historic Business District area of Lynden, WA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Whatcom County at 49.6%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,994
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$81,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynden and the region
Centroid at 48.9513, -122.4558 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic Business District scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynden
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,491 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynden
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynden
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynden
5.7
How Historic Business District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2015)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic Business District
The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 9 filings here across 3 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,491, 13% below the Lynden average. Filings peaked in 2015 at 0.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Whatcom County average of 5.9 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010302?
Census tract 53073010302 in the Historic Business District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010302?
Median gross rent is $1,491/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010302?
8.1% of residents in tract 53073010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,757.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 26th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 53073010302 considered part of Historic Business District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010302 fall within Historic Business District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073010302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073010302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.43% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53073010302 compare to Lynden overall?
Tract 53073010302 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Lynden at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynden
Top eight tracts in Lynden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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