Neighborhood · Lynden, WA

Northwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Northwood is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lynden with 1 census tract and a population of 7,859 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,754/month sits 3% higher than the Lynden citywide average ($1,707).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Northwood vs Lynden How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.3% +63%

Lynden: 30.2%

Average gross rent

$1,754 +3%

Lynden: $1,707

Average HH income

$112,931 +19%

Lynden: $94,869

Poverty rate

14.4% +65%

Lynden: 8.7%

Renter share

43.3% +28%

Lynden: 33.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Northwood scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

43% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

14.4% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Risk score comparison

Northwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Northwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
53073010303	4.1	7,859	49%	$1,754

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 45%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 69%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 96%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northwood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

11Total filings (sum)
0.57%Avg annual filing rate
1.0%Peak year (2015)
0.24%Latest filed (2018)

Frequently asked

About Northwood

What is the eviction-risk score for Northwood?

Northwood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northwood compare to Lynden overall?

Northwood scores 2.8 points lower than Lynden overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,754 vs $1,707.

What is the average rent in Northwood?

Average gross rent in Northwood is $1,754/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northwood residents are renters?

43% of Northwood households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Lynden). The neighborhood has 7,859 residents.

Is Northwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Northwood sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Northwood for landlords?

Northwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynden as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northwood?

Northwood has 8,042 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.8%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northwood

7.5 Birchwood 2 tracts · pop 7,970 6.1 Lakeway 2 tracts · pop 7,341 8.5 Sehome 2 tracts · pop 9,541 8.3 Happy Valley 2 tracts · pop 7,659

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynden

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northwood.

4.2 Historic Business District 1 tracts · pop 4,757

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