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Neighborhood · Lynden, WA

Northwood Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Northwood maps to a single census tract in Lynden, WA, population 7,859. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 30.2% citywide, putting Northwood 19.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 1.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 0.2% in 2018, is well off that peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Against average income of $112,931, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,754, close to the Lynden average. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Northwood vs Lynden How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.3% +63%
Lynden: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,754 +3%
Lynden: $1,707
Average HH income
$112,931 +19%
Lynden: $94,869
Poverty rate
14.4% +65%
Lynden: 8.7%
Renter share
43.3% +28%
Lynden: 33.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northwood and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Northwood scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Economic stress
14.4% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Northwood vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northwood score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3NorthwoodNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city6.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Northwood

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
53073010303 5.3 7,859 49% $1,754
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 45%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northwood

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings (sum)
  • 0.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 0.24%Latest filed (2018)
Frequently asked

About Northwood

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northwood?

Northwood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northwood compare to Lynden overall?

Northwood scores 0.6 points lower than Lynden overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,754 vs $1,707.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northwood?

Average gross rent in Northwood is $1,754/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northwood residents are renters?

43% of Northwood households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Lynden). The neighborhood has 7,859 residents.
Q5

Is Northwood a high social-vulnerability area?

Northwood sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Northwood for landlords?

Northwood carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lynden as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Northwood?

Northwood has 8,042 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.8%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northwood

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lynden

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northwood.

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