Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Bay Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 53073010405 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,325 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Birch Bay
Census tract 53073010405 belongs to Birch Bay, Washington. It is home to 3,325 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,222 monthly, set against $85,365 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 5% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$85,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birch Bay and the region
Centroid at 48.9618, -122.8079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Bay scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birch Bay
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,222 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Bay
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Bay
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Bay
6.4
How Birch Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Bay
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birch Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010405?
Census tract 53073010405 in Birch Bay scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010405?
Median gross rent is $2,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010405?
9.0% of residents in tract 53073010405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,325.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 76th, minority 34th, housing 22th.
Q5
How does tract 53073010405 compare to Birch Bay overall?
Tract 53073010405 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Birch Bay at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birch Bay
Top eight tracts in Birch Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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