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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Birch Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 53073010406 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 2,131 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Birch Bay

53073010406 is a census tract in Birch Bay, WA. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,131. Against Whatcom County at 49.6%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 5% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$74,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Birch Bay
Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,456 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very Low
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birch Bay and the region

Centroid at 48.9554, -122.7570 · click any tract to drill in

Why Birch Bay scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birch Bay
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,665 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Bay
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Bay
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Bay
6.4

How Birch Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Birch Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0104064.5Birch Bayparent city5.9Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Birch Bay

Average gross rent is $1,665, 36% above the Birch Bay average. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.

Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $74,556.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53073010406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010406?

Census tract 53073010406 in Birch Bay scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53073010406?

Median gross rent is $1,665/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010406?

5.5% of residents in tract 53073010406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,131.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 78th, minority 46th, housing 45th.
Q5

How does tract 53073010406 compare to Birch Bay overall?

Tract 53073010406 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Birch Bay at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birch Bay

Top eight tracts in Birch Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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