Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Bay Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 53073010406 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 2,131 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Birch Bay
Census tract 53073010406 covers Birch Bay in Whatcom County, home to 2,131 residents. For landlords it grades 5.3/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
76% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,665 a month against an average household income of $74,556 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$74,556
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birch Bay and the region
Centroid at 48.9554, -122.7570 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Bay scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birch Bay
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,665 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Bay
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Bay
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Bay
6.4
How Birch Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Bay
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birch Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010406?
Census tract 53073010406 in Birch Bay scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010406?
Median gross rent is $1,665/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010406?
5.5% of residents in tract 53073010406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,131.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 78th, minority 46th, housing 45th.
Q5
How does tract 53073010406 compare to Birch Bay overall?
Tract 53073010406 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Birch Bay at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birch Bay
Top eight tracts in Birch Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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