Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 53073010411 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 4,738 · 92% of tract blocks fall in Birch Bay
Census tract 53073010411 covers part of Birch Bay, WA, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,738. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,025
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$71,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birch Bay and the region
Centroid at 48.9056, -122.7663 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Bay scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birch Bay
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Bay
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Bay
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Bay
6.4
How Birch Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Bay
The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 52% of renters. Average gross rent is $1,201, close to the Birch Bay average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $71,063.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010411?
Census tract 53073010411 in Birch Bay scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010411?
Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010411?
8.2% of residents in tract 53073010411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,738.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 71th, minority 35th, housing 72th.
Q5
How does tract 53073010411 compare to Birch Bay overall?
Tract 53073010411 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Birch Bay at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birch Bay
Top eight tracts in Birch Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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