Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 53073010405 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,325 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Birch Bay
Census tract 53073010405 covers part of Birch Bay, WA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,325. Average gross rent is $2,222, 82% above the Birch Bay average.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,757
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$85,365
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birch Bay and the region
Centroid at 48.9618, -122.8079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Bay scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birch Bay
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,222 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birch Bay
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birch Bay
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birch Bay
6.4
How Birch Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Bay
The voucher gap is 35.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Against Whatcom County at 49.6%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.5/10. Against the Whatcom County average of 5.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $85,365.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010405?
Census tract 53073010405 in Birch Bay scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010405?
Median gross rent is $2,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010405?
9.0% of residents in tract 53073010405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,325.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 76th, minority 34th, housing 22th.
Q5
How does tract 53073010405 compare to Birch Bay overall?
Tract 53073010405 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Birch Bay at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birch Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birch Bay
Top eight tracts in Birch Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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