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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Sherman Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Madison

Tract 55025001804 · Dane County, WI · pop 4,356 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 55025001804 covers part of the Sherman Terrace area of Madison, WI, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,356. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 45% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,485
Renter share79.2%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$62,326

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sherman Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 72 tracts In Madison
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#25 of 125 tracts In Dane County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Madison and the region

Centroid at 43.0977, -89.3658 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sherman Terrace scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Madison
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,425 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Madison
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Madison
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Madison
5.5

How Sherman Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sherman Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0018044.6Madisonparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 577Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2012)
  • 38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 55025001804
Filings climbed 36% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sherman Terrace

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.6 points above the Dane County average of 4.2. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.6/10.

The filing record is not thin: 577 evictions over 13 years of observation. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.1% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 55025001804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001804?

Census tract 55025001804 in the Sherman Terrace neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55025001804?

Median gross rent is $1,425/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001804?

13.4% of residents in tract 55025001804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,356.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 6th, minority 45th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 55025001804 considered part of Sherman Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001804 fall within Sherman Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55025001804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 577 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55025001804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 55025001804 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 55025001804 compare to Madison overall?

Tract 55025001804 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Madison at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Madison eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 55025001804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Madison

Top eight tracts in Madison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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