The Yards Eviction Risk: Elevated , Madison

91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $51,140, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

It sits 1.8 points above the Dane County average of 4.2. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Dane County at 41.3%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 257 evictions over 13 years of observation.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.9/10. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2002 at 2.8% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Madison. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.