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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47037018204 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,144

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 47037018204 in Nashville, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 37% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,880
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$48,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 166 tracts In Nashville
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#178 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.0845, -86.9108 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nashville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,702 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Nashville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nashville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0182043.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 586Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nashville

Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $48,375, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.

52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Davidson County average of 46.0%. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037018204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037018204?

Census tract 47037018204 in Nashville scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037018204?

Median gross rent is $1,702/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037018204?

23.8% of residents in tract 47037018204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037018204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 27th, minority 38th, housing 83th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47037018204 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47037018204 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037018204 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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