Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037014400 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,897 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 47037014400 in the The Gulch area of Nashville, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,897 residents. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share97.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$53,990
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1576, -86.8057 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Gulch scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,813 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How The Gulch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 86%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 478Total filings 2020-21
- 6.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Gulch
Cost burden runs 62% here against 46.0% across Davidson County. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $53,990, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
At $1,813 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Nashville commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037014400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037014400?
Census tract 47037014400 in the The Gulch neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037014400?
Median gross rent is $1,813/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037014400?
23.9% of residents in tract 47037014400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,897.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037014400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 36th, minority 77th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 47037014400 considered part of The Gulch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037014400 fall within The Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037014400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037014400 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037014400 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47037014400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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47037012801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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47037015637
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037018204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Windsor Green
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037010403
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Mudtavern
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Oak Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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