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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Little Kurdistan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

Tract 47037017402 · Davidson County, TN · pop 5,440 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 47037017402 runs through the Little Kurdistan area of Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance). With 5,440 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,524 a month while the average household earns $79,028 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 33% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,572
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate29.2%
Median income$79,028

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Little Kurdistan
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 166 tracts In Nashville
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#513 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1006, -86.7269 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Kurdistan scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
29.2% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,524 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Little Kurdistan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Kurdistan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 017402Nashville: 2.52.5Nashvilleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 862Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.60×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (0.88× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 7 filings (1.62× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-10-01: 6 filings (2.25× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-01-01: 9 filings (1.59× baseline)2021-02-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 10 filings (2.31× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-05-01: 9 filings (1.93× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-07-01: 7 filings (1.62× baseline)2021-08-01: 20 filings (4.62× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (1.39× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2021-12-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-01-01: 19 filings (3.35× baseline)2022-02-01: 13 filings (2.17× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (1.62× baseline)2022-04-01: 9 filings (1.69× baseline)2022-05-01: 17 filings (3.64× baseline)2022-06-01: 11 filings (2.36× baseline)2022-07-01: 10 filings (2.31× baseline)2022-08-01: 13 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 23 filings (5.31× baseline)2022-10-01: 27 filings (10.11× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 20 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 15 filings (2.65× baseline)2023-02-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 26 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 17 filings (3.19× baseline)2023-05-01: 26 filings (5.57× baseline)2023-06-01: 20 filings (4.28× baseline)2023-07-01: 19 filings (4.39× baseline)2023-08-01: 16 filings (3.70× baseline)2023-09-01: 18 filings (4.16× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (2.62× baseline)2023-11-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 21 filings (4.20× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-02-01: 14 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-04-01: 16 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-06-01: 15 filings (3.21× baseline)2024-07-01: 12 filings (2.77× baseline)2024-08-01: 9 filings (2.08× baseline)2024-09-01: 16 filings (3.70× baseline)2024-10-01: 20 filings (7.49× baseline)2024-11-01: 16 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 16 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-01-01: 15 filings (2.65× baseline)2025-02-01: 11 filings (1.83× baseline)2025-03-01: 7 filings (1.62× baseline)2025-04-01: 8 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-06-01: 13 filings (2.78× baseline)2025-07-01: 15 filings (3.46× baseline)2025-08-01: 13 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 15 filings (5.62× baseline)2025-11-01: 14 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 24 filings (240.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Kurdistan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Kurdistan

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.60x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037017402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037017402?

Census tract 47037017402 in the Little Kurdistan neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037017402?

Median gross rent is $1,524/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037017402?

29.2% of residents in tract 47037017402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,440.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037017402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 31th, minority 59th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 47037017402 considered part of Little Kurdistan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037017402 fall within Little Kurdistan (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037017402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037017402 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037017402 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037017402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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