Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Nashville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47037015806 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,239
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 47037015806 in Nashville, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,239. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,866
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$49,690
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1308, -86.7183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nashville scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How Nashville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,214Total filings 2020-21
- 15.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 14.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nashville
Adults with no health insurance runs 31.0% against 11.3% nationally. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.
At $1,237 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Nashville commands. It sits 1.3 points above the Davidson County average of 3.9.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037015806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037015806?
Census tract 47037015806 in Nashville scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037015806?
Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037015806?
26.4% of residents in tract 47037015806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,239.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037015806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 73th, minority 77th, housing 73th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 47037015806 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 47037015806 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037015806 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 47037015806 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Germantown Nashville, TN
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037015615
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037010904
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037012801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
The Gulch
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
47037018204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
New Heights District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Windsor Green
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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