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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Little Kurdistan Eviction Risk: Lower , Nashville

Tract 47037019007 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,332 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

47037019007 is a census tract in the Little Kurdistan area of Nashville, TN. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,332. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 24% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units940
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$65,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Little Kurdistan
Very Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#102 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#960 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.0880, -86.7234 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Kurdistan scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How Little Kurdistan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Kurdistan risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0190073.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 110Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Kurdistan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Kurdistan

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 23.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against Davidson County at 46.0%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,486, close to the Nashville average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $65,204.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019007

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019007?

Census tract 47037019007 in the Little Kurdistan neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037019007?

Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019007?

6.0% of residents in tract 47037019007 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,332.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019007?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 96th, minority 75th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 47037019007 considered part of Little Kurdistan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019007 fall within Little Kurdistan (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019007 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037019007 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019007 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037019007 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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