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Neighborhood · Karns, TN

Trails End Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 7,248 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.7/10 · range 2.1-3.1

Trails End is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Karns with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,248 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 21% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,447/month sits 18% lower than the Karns citywide average ($1,765).

Risk score
2.7
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Trails End vs Karns How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
20.9% +39%
Karns: 15.0%
Average gross rent
$1,447 -18%
Karns: $1,765
Average HH income
$97,089 -4%
Karns: $101,161
Poverty rate
5.9% +27%
Karns: 4.6%
Renter share
37.7% +67%
Karns: 22.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trails End and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.1-3.1

Why Trails End scores 2.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9-1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2-4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 1.9-4.1 across tracts
3.2
Rent control risk
21% of income on rent · Range 1.9-2.9 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9-5.0 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 4.0-5.3 across tracts
4.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.9-5.0 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.4-1.6 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1-4.5 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Trails End vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Trails End score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Trails End: 2.72.7Trails EndNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.33.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Trails End

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47093006001 3.1 4,298 23% $1,471
47093004612 2.1 2,950 18% $1,413
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Trails End

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Trails End?

Trails End scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Trails End compare to Karns overall?

Trails End scores 0.6 points lower than Karns overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 21% of income on rent vs 15% citywide. Average rent: $1,447 vs $1,765.

Q3

What is the average rent in Trails End?

Average gross rent in Trails End is $1,447/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Trails End residents are renters?

38% of Trails End households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Karns). The neighborhood has 7,248 residents.

Q5

Is Trails End a high social-vulnerability area?

Trails End sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Trails End have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Trails End is census tract 47093006001 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.1 to 3.1, a spread of 1 points.

Q7

How safe is Trails End for landlords?

Trails End carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Karns as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Trails End?

Trails End has 7,640 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.9%), Hispanic / Latino (11%), Other / Multiracial (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trails End

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Karns

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trails End.

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