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Neighborhood · Smyrna, TN

Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,836 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Spring Branch is a one-tract neighborhood of Smyrna, TN and houses 2,836 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Smyrna rate of 29.7%.

Average gross rent is $591, 60% below the Smyrna average of $1,461. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

This is a renter market: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Smyrna, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cedar Forest and Johnstown.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Spring Branch vs Smyrna How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.0% +89%
Smyrna: 29.7%
Average gross rent
$591 -60%
Smyrna: $1,461
Average HH income
$41,548 -47%
Smyrna: $78,409
Poverty rate
22.0% +92%
Smyrna: 11.5%
Renter share
68.5% +61%
Smyrna: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Branch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Spring Branch scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
22.0% below poverty line · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Spring Branch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Spring Branch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Spring BranchNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Spring Branch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47149040305 5.5 2,836 56% $591
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 93

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 94%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 96%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Spring Branch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Spring Branch?

Spring Branch scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Spring Branch compare to Smyrna overall?

Spring Branch scores 1.4 points higher than Smyrna overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $591 vs $1,461.
Q3

What is the average rent in Spring Branch?

Average gross rent in Spring Branch is $591/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Spring Branch residents are renters?

69% of Spring Branch households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Smyrna). The neighborhood has 2,836 residents.
Q5

Is Spring Branch a high social-vulnerability area?

Spring Branch sits in the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Spring Branch for landlords?

Spring Branch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Smyrna as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Spring Branch?

Spring Branch has 2,690 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.7%), Other / Multiracial (12.1%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Spring Branch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Smyrna

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Spring Branch.

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