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Neighborhood · Smyrna, TN

Johnstown Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,111 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.2–4.9

Johnstown is a 2-tract neighborhood of Smyrna, TN and houses 6,111 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Smyrna baseline of 29.7%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. This is a renter market: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.9/10.

Average gross rent is $1,357, 7% below the Smyrna average of $1,461. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Smyrna, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $61,081.

With little internal variation, 4.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Johnstown vs Smyrna How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.0% +41%
Smyrna: 29.7%
Average gross rent
$1,357 -7%
Smyrna: $1,461
Average HH income
$61,081 -22%
Smyrna: $78,409
Poverty rate
6.5% -43%
Smyrna: 11.5%
Renter share
71.9% +69%
Smyrna: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnstown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.9

Why Johnstown scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–4.0 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Johnstown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Johnstown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5JohnstownNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Johnstown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
47149040312 4.9 2,549 30% $1,647
47149040311 4.2 3,562 50% $1,150
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Johnstown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Johnstown?

Johnstown scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Johnstown compare to Smyrna overall?

Johnstown scores 0.4 points higher than Smyrna overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,357 vs $1,461.
Q3

What is the average rent in Johnstown?

Average gross rent in Johnstown is $1,357/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Johnstown residents are renters?

72% of Johnstown households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Smyrna). The neighborhood has 6,111 residents.
Q5

Is Johnstown a high social-vulnerability area?

Johnstown sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Johnstown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Johnstown is census tract 47149040312 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.9, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Johnstown for landlords?

Johnstown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Smyrna as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Johnstown?

Johnstown has 6,076 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36.6%), Hispanic / Latino (25.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Johnstown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Smyrna

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Johnstown.

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