Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Smyrna

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Rutherford County average of 47.9%.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $41,548, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.