Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Branch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Smyrna

Tract 47149040305 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 2,836 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in Spring Branch in Smyrna centers on tract 47149040305, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,836 residents. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $591 a month against an average household income of $41,548 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 30% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,056

Renter share68.5%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate22.0%

Median income$41,548

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9860, -86.5327 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Branch scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

22.0% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$591 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Spring Branch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Branch

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Rutherford County average of 4.3 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040305?

Census tract 47149040305 in the Spring Branch neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040305?

Median gross rent is $591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040305?

22.0% of residents in tract 47149040305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,836.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 96th, minority 54th, housing 69th.

Is tract 47149040305 considered part of Spring Branch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47149040305 fall within Spring Branch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 47149040305 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040305 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.