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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157001200 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,543

Census tract 47157001200 covers part of Memphis, TN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,543 residents. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 28% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,295
Renter share57.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$46,794

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Very High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#71 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Elevated
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1557, -89.9357 · click any tract to drill in

Why Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,109 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0012004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 420Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Memphis

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.9% against 11.3% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157001200?

Census tract 47157001200 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157001200?

Median gross rent is $1,109/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157001200?

27.2% of residents in tract 47157001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,543.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 42th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157001200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157001200 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157001200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 47157001200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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