Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47157007810 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,047
Census tract 47157007810 covers part of Memphis, TN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,047 residents. Set annual rent against average income of $22,950 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share59.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate36.3%
Median income$22,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.0921, -90.0049 · click any tract to drill in
Why Memphis scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
36.3% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Memphis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,106Total filings 2020-21
- 14.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 14.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Memphis
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 50.9% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 48.3% across Shelby County.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Average gross rent is $913, 23% below the Memphis average. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Adults with no health insurance runs 18.4% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157007810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007810?
Census tract 47157007810 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157007810?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007810?
36.3% of residents in tract 47157007810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,047.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 83th, minority 98th, housing 67th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 47157007810 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 47157007810 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157007810 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 47157007810 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
North Memphis
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Beale Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Hickory Hill
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Orange Mound
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Crosstown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Berclair
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
Frayser
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related