Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 55.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.9% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $34,353, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Shelby County average of 48.3%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.