Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs 76% here against 48.3% across Shelby County. Annualized rent equals 57% of average household income of $22,886, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 51%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 54.7% against 31.5% nationally. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.2% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.