San Antonio Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.1% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $954 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of San Antonio commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Bexar County average of 4.1. The filing record is not thin: 881 evictions over 9 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 13.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.