Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48091310613 · Comal, TX · pop 3,810

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 48091310613 in Canyon Lake, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,810. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,882

Renter share15.5%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$78,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Lake and the region

Centroid at 29.8569, -98.2341 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Lake scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,188 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Canyon Lake

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Canyon Lake

6.5

How Canyon Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Lake

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Comal County average of 3.8. Average gross rent is $1,188, 10% below the Canyon Lake average.

Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $78,125.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48091310613

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48091310613?

Census tract 48091310613 in Canyon Lake scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48091310613?

Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48091310613?

13.5% of residents in tract 48091310613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,810.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48091310613?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 70th, minority 41th, housing 29th.

How does tract 48091310613 compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Tract 48091310613 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Canyon Lake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canyon Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canyon Lake

Top eight tracts in Canyon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.