Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Canyon Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48091310612 · Comal, TX · pop 2,157

48091310612 is a census tract in Canyon Lake, TX. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,157 residents. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 15% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units848

Renter share34.0%

SVI overall0.65

Poverty rate9.3%

Median income$72,143

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Canyon Lake and the region

Centroid at 29.9032, -98.2195 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canyon Lake scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.3% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,150 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Canyon Lake

8.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Canyon Lake

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Canyon Lake

6.5

How Canyon Lake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canyon Lake

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 42.4% across Comal County.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,150, 13% below the Canyon Lake average.

Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Comal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $72,143. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48091310612

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48091310612?

Census tract 48091310612 in Canyon Lake scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48091310612?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48091310612?

9.3% of residents in tract 48091310612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,157.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48091310612?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 85th, minority 46th, housing 42th.

How does tract 48091310612 compare to Canyon Lake overall?

Tract 48091310612 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Canyon Lake at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canyon Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canyon Lake

Top eight tracts in Canyon Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.