Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021630 · Denton, TX · pop 5,494 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Carrollton
Tract 48121021630 sits in Carrollton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,848
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$107,783
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0215, -96.9080 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollton scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
2.5
How Carrollton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,140Total filings over 13 yrs
- 17.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.2%Peak (2007)
- 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 136% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 335Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollton
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,140 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Cost burden runs 41% here against 45.5% across Denton County. Filings peaked in 2007 at 36.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,704, close to the Carrollton average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $107,783.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021630
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021630?
Census tract 48121021630 in Carrollton scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021630?
Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021630?
9.2% of residents in tract 48121021630 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,494.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021630?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 27th, minority 73th, housing 16th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021630?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,140 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021630 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.77% of renter households, peaking at 36.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021630 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021630 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021630 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48113013717
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021613
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
New Koreatown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021646
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Addison Circle
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021615
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48113013718
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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